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The Hokey Cokey is a trade around the 2.5 goals market where we enter the market pre-match and trade out for a profit in play. The longer a game goes without a goal the more the price on the under 2.5 goals comes in and it is this reduction over time that we are going to profit from.
CRITERIA
- Under 2.5 goals to be priced 1.95 or above
- Liquidity of £50k+
- No team should score most of their goals in the first 30 minutes of their games – SoccerStats is a great site for this type of thing!
It is also recommended you are able to watch the match (at least until the trade is complete).
The target profit for this trade is between 10%-15% so for £100 stakes you are looking for a profit of £10-£15. Please note that your entire stake is never at full risk. Worst case scenario is a loss of 35%-45% of this initial stake.
Once a suitable match has been identified, just before kick off place a 1 point BACK bet on under 2.5 goals. Then place a 1 point LAY bet on under 2.5 goals at least 20 ticks less than your BACK bet. 20 ticks will give you a profit of around 10% (30 ticks will give you a profit of around 15%).
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES
- A goal is scored before your LAY bet has been matched. If this happens trade out for an equal loss.
- No goal is scored and your LAY bet is matched :-). If this happens trade out for an equal profit.
In most matches you will be out within the first 10 minutes but if your LAY bet has not been matched within the first 15 minutes trade out for an equal profit.
If you are going to use this strategy we recommend you are watching the game. If the game starts very open and goal looks very likely then trade out – DO NOT WAIT FOR YOUR LAY BET TO BE MATCHED! There will be plenty of opportunities and games that start off slowly without your heart stopping everytime a team is on the attack while waiting for your LAY bet to be matched!!